[Hordhac]: Saddexdii rubuc ee ugu horreeyay 2023, isbeddelka guud ee mustaqbalka methanol-ka gudaha ayaa marka hore hoos u dhacay ka dibna kor u kacay, qeybtii hore ee sanadka, macquulka aan xadidnayn ee wanaagsan ee farqiga qiimaha hadda jira wuxuu sameeyay faa'iido wanaagsan, wareegga badeecaduhuna wuxuu sii waday inuu adkaado, taasoo ka dhigaysa qeybtii hore ee sanadka asal ahaan bil kasta iyadoo la adeegsanayo waxqabadka jilicsan ee adag; Futures ayaa dib ugu soo laabtay rubuci saddexaad, laakiin dekeddu waxay furtay habka kaydinta isku-darka ah, goobtuna waxay soo afjartay qaabka qiimaha ilaa 10 bilood.

Isbeddelka hawlgalka suuqa inta lagu jiro sanadka waxaa loo qaybin karaa laba marxaladood:

Marxaladda koowaad (Janaayo 1 - Juun 12): marxaladdan naxdinta qiimaha saliidda caalamiga ah ayaa hoos u dhacday, inkastoo ay jirtay dib u soo kabasho xooggan intii lagu jiray dhimista wax soo saarka Opec, laakiin waqtigu wuu gaabnaa, dhawaanna wuu hoos u dhacay sababtoo ah dhibka daba-galka baahida. Mustaqbalka methanol ee marxaladdan muhiimka ah ee macquulka ganacsiga ugu weyn waa saliidda cayriin, wareegga kor u kaca heerka dulsaarka Mareykanka iyo arrimo kale oo macro iyo kharashyo (taas oo ah, dhuxusha), qiimaha dhuxusha ayaa sii socda inuu hoos u dhaco (shabakaddan waxay la socotaa Inner Mongolia ilaa dhuxusha warshadda ay hoos ugu dhacday ugu yaraan 620 yuan/ton), taasoo taageerta socodka lacagta caddaanka ah ee shirkadaha ku jira aagga wax soo saarka si ay u soo kabtaan, bixinta filashooyinka cadaadiska saxanka xitaa hoos u dhac cusub, kan ugu hooseeya wuxuu hoos ugu dhacay 1953 yuan/ton bishii Juun.

Marxaladda labaad (Juun 13 - Sebtembar 28): marxaladdan mustaqbalka methanol ayaa hoos u dhacay, hoos u dhac siman oo ay keentay macquulka kharashka ayaa dhammaaday, saxanka ayaa muujiyay taageero xooggan 1950-2000 yuan/tan, macquulka ganacsi ee ugu weyn ee dib u soo celinta ayaa la filayay baahida. Saliidda cayriin marka la eego sahayda iyo baahida hooseysa ayaa dhaaftay filashooyinka, taasoo keentay hoos u dhac joogto ah oo kaydka ah, taasoo taageerta dib u soo kabasho xooggan oo qiimaha saliidda ah; Methanol lafteedu waa labanlaab guud ee sahayda iyo baahida, sahayda kaydka ee dhul-weynaha iyo aaladaha cusub ayaa soo degay, laakiin kaydka ayaa weli ku jira xaalad hoose, suuqu wuxuu fahansan yahay in baahida hoose ee dhaqameed ay deggan tahay; Isla mar ahaantaana, inkastoo heerka sare ee sahayda soo dejinta ay tahay 1.3-1.4 milyan oo tan/bishii, saldhigga kaydka ee hooseeya ee marxaladda hore wuxuu ka dhigayaa suuqa inuu u maleeyo in cadaadiska aagga dekedda uusan weynayn, sahayda alaabta wareegaysana ay adag tahay. Iyadoo lala kaashanayo rajada dib u bilaabashada Xingxing iyo Shenghong iyo degitaanka muhiimka ah ee xiga, miiska dekedda waxaa loo baahan yahay in lagu taageero kor u kaca labanlaab ee methanol ee macro iyo baahidiisa. Sebtembar 19, dib u soo celinta ugu sarreysa ilaa 2662 yuan/ton.

Marka la eego rubuca afraad, sahayda soo dejinta laga bilaabo Oktoobar ilaa Noofambar wali waa la hayaa heer sare oo ka badan 1.3 milyan oo tan, inkastoo suuqa la filayo inuu hoos u dhaco saameynta taban ee xayiraadaha gaaska ee Iiraan bisha Diseembar, laakiin xoojinta kaydinta xilliyeedka ama ka yar sanadihii hore. Intaa waxaa dheer, qiimaha suuqa dhul-weynaha ee 2023 wuxuu ku jiray xaalad xooggan, xitaa mugga dib-u-soo-noqoshada Jiangxi, Guangxi iyo Hunan ayaa si joogto ah uga dhacay Koonfurta Shiinaha. Waxaa la filayaa in xilliga jiilaalka 2023, qaabka gobolku uu ka duwanaan karo sanadihii hore, farqiga qiimaha ee u dhexeeya dekedaha dhul-weynaha iyo Bariga Shiinaha ayaa laga yaabaa inay aad u adag tahay in lagu ballaariyo mugga dekedda xamuulka ee dhul-weynaha, guddiga mustaqbalka ayaa ilaaliya qiimaha alaabta la soo dejiyo, taas oo leh cadaadis sahay oo sarreeya, iyo taageerada kharashka tamarta ee ay keento dhuxusha iyo saliidda cayriin, waxaana la filayaa in mustaqbalka methanol ee rubuca afraad ama suurtogalnimo weyn oo ah isbeddel daciif ah.