[hordhac] : Saddexdii rubuc ee ugu horreeyay 2023, isbeddelka guud ee mustaqbalka methanol gudaha ayaa hoos u dhacay markii hore ka dibna wuxuu kacay, qeybtii hore ee sanadka, macquulnimada aan xadidnayn ee farqiga qiimaha hadda ayaa faa'iido wanaagsan sameeyay, iyo wareegga alaabtu waxay sii wadeen inay noqdaan kuwo cidhiidhi ah, samaynta qaybta hore ee sanadka asal ahaan bil kasta hoos yimaada waxqabadka jilicsan; Mustaqbalka ayaa dib u soo laabtay rubuci saddexaad, laakiin dekeddu waxay furtay habka kaydinta isu geynta, goobtuna waxay soo afjartay hannaankii khidmadaha ilaa 10 bilood.

Isbeddelka hawlgalka suuqa inta lagu jiro sanadka waxa loo qaybin karaa laba marxaladood:

Marxaladda koowaad (Janaayo 1 - Juun 12): heerkan heerkan hoos u dhaca qiimaha saliidda caalamiga ah, in kasta oo ay jirtay dib u soo kabashada xooggan intii lagu jiray hoos u dhaca wax soo saarka OPec, laakiin wakhtigu wuu yaraa, oo wax yar ka dib ayaa dib u dhacay sababtoo ah baahida loo qabo in la raaco. - kor. Mustaqbalka methanol ee marxaladan macquulka ah ee ganacsiga ugu weyn waa saliid cayriin, heerka dulsaarka dulsaarka ee Maraykanka iyo arrimo kale oo makro ah iyo kharashyada (taas oo ah, dhuxusha), qiimaha dhuxusha ayaa sii socota inay hoos u dhacdo (shabakaddan waxay ku socotaa gudaha Mongolia ilaa dhuxusha warshadu dhacday. ugu hooseeya ee ku dhow 620 yuan / ton), taageeraya socodka lacagta caddaanka ah ee shirkadaha ku yaala aagga wax soo saarka si ay u soo kabtaan, sahayda filashada ee cadaadiska diskka xitaa hooseeyo cusub, ugu hooseeya ayaa ku dhacay 1953 yuan / ton bishii Juun.

Marxaladda labaad (June 13 - Sebtembar 28): marxaladdan mustaqbalka methanol ayaa hoos loo dhigay, hoos u dhac ku yimid qiimaha macquulka ah ayaa dhammaaday, diskku wuxuu muujiyay taageero xooggan 1950-2000 yuan / ton, iyo macquulnimada ganacsiga ugu weyn ee dib u soo celinta ayaa la filayey baahida. Saliidda cayriin marka loo eego sahayda iyo baahida hoose waxay dhaaftay rajada laga filayo, taasoo keentay hoos u dhac joogto ah oo alaabada, taageeridda dib u soo celinta xooggan ee qiimaha saliidda; Methanol lafteedu waa guud ahaan sahayda iyo baahida labanlaabantay, sahayda dhul-weynaha ee kaydka iyo aaladaha cusub ayaa soo degay, laakiin alaabtu waxay ku sii socotaa xaalad hoose, suuqu wuxuu fahamsan yahay in baahida dhaqameed ee hoose ay tahay mid deggan; Teeda kale, in kasta oo heerka sare ee wax soo dejinta uu yahay 1.3-1.4 million tons/bishii, haddana hoos u dhaca alaabooyinka ee bilowga hore waxay keenaysaa in suuqu u maleeyo in culayska aagga dekeddu aanu weynayn, iyo keenista badeecadaha wareegaysa. waa cidhiidhi. Marka lagu daro rajada dib-u-bilaabashada Xingxing iyo Shenghong iyo soo degitaanka wax ku oolka ah ee soo socda, miiska dekeddu wuxuu u baahan yahay in lagu taageero labanlaab kor u qaadista methanol ee makro iyo baahideeda. Sebtembar 19, dib-u-soo-noqod kii ugu sarreeyay ilaa 2662 yuan/ton.

Raadinta rubuca afraad, soo dejinta laga bilaabo Oktoobar ilaa Noofambar ayaa wali lagu hayaa heer sare oo ka badan 1.3 milyan oo tan, inkasta oo suuqa la filayo inuu hoos u dhigo saamaynta xun ee xayiraadaha gaaska Iran ee Diseembar, laakiin kaydinta xilliyeedka. xoojinta ama ka yar sanadihii hore. Intaa waxaa dheer, qiimaha suuqa dhul-weynaha ee 2023 wuxuu ku sugnaa xaalad xooggan, xitaa mugga dib-u-socodka Jiangxi, Guangxi iyo Hunan ayaa si joogto ah uga dhacay Koonfurta Shiinaha. Waxaa la filayaa in xilliga qaboobaha ee 2023, qaabka gobolku uu ka duwanaan karo sannadihii hore, farqiga qiimaha u dhexeeya dekedaha barriga iyo bariga Shiinaha ayaa laga yaabaa inay aad u adag tahay in la ballaariyo mugga dekedda garqaadka xamuulka, guddiga mustaqbalka ayaa ilaalinaya qiimaha. ee alaabta la soo dejiyo, kaas oo leh cadaadis sare oo sahayda ah, iyo taageerada kharashka tamarta ee ay keenaan dhuxusha iyo saliidda cayriin, waxaana la filayaa in mustaqbalka methanol ee rubuci afaraad ama suurtogalnimada weyn ee isbeddelka daciifka ah.