Rubuci hore, suuqa aniline ayaa kor u kacay, iyo celceliska qiimaha bishiiba si tartiib tartiib ah u kordhay. Qaadashada suuqa Waqooyiga Shiinaha tusaale ahaan, heerka ugu hooseeya ee rubucii wuxuu soo muuqday Janaayo, iyadoo qiimihiisu yahay 9550 yuan / ton, halka ugu sarreeyana uu soo muuqday bishii Maarso, qiimaha 13300 yuan / ton, iyo farqiga qiimaha u dhexeeya sare iyo hoose waxay ahaayeen 3750 yuan/ton. Qodobka ugu wanaagsan ee kor u kaca January ilaa March waxay ka timid dhinaca saadka iyo baahida. Dhinaca kale, rubuci hore, warshado waaweyn oo gudaha ah ayaa dayactir xooggan lagu sameeyay, agabka warshaduhuna wuu yaraa. Dhanka kale, dib u soo kabashada baahida terminalka ka dib Dabaaldegga Guga ayaa soo saaray taageero wanaagsan oo suuqa ah.

Waxqabadka sahaydu wuxuu sii waday taageerada adag ee aniline qiimaha kor u kaca

Saddexda bilood ee ugu horreeya, waxqabadka sahayda suuqa aniline wuxuu sii wadaa inuu sii adkeeyo si kor loogu qaado qiimaha. Maalinta Sannadka Cusub ka dib, dalabka saamiyada ka horreeya fasaxa ka hor ayaa kor u kaca, sahayda iyo baahida dhinaca wanaagsan, qiimuhu wuxuu bilaabay inuu u muuqdo isbeddel hoose oo dib u soo kabasho ah. Dabaaldegga Guga ka dib, dib u habeynta qalabka aniline-ka ee gudaha ayaa kordhay. Bishii Febraayo, culeyska guud ee warshadaha aniline-ka gudaha wuxuu ahaa 62.05%, hoos u dhac 15.05 boqolkiiba ah Janaayo. Ka dib markii la galay Maarso, dalabka terminalka ayaa si fiican u soo kabtay. In kasta oo culayska warshaduhu uu soo kabtay 74.15%, dhinaca saadka iyo dalabka ayaa wali siinayay taageero muuqata suuqa, iyo qiimaha Aniline-ka gudaha ayaa sare u kacay bishii March. Laga bilaabo Maarso 31, qiimaha suuqa caadiga ah ee aniline ee Waqooyiga Shiinaha 13250 yuan/ton, marka la barbar dhigo 9650 yuan/ton horraantii Janaayo, koror wadar ah oo ah 3600 yuan/ton, koror ah 37.3%.

Awoodda hoose ee cusub ee sii daaya sahayda aniline ayaa sii socota inay sii adkaato

Saddexdii bilood ee ugu horreeyay ee 2023, wax-soo-saarka aniline-ka gudaha wuxuu ahaa qiyaastii 754,100 tan, oo kordhay 8.3% rubuc-rubuc iyo 1.48% sannad-sannad. In kasta oo sahaydu korodhay, 400,000-tan/sanad MDI unugga Wanhua ee ka tirsan gobolka Fujian ee hoose waxa la hawl galiyay Diisambar 2022, taas oo si tartiib tartiib ah isu rogtay wax caadi ah rubuci hore ka dib. Dhanka kale, 70,000-tan/sannadkii cyclohexylamine ee Wanhua ee Yantai ayaa bilaabay hawlgal tijaabo ah bishii Maarso. Ka dib markii awoodda wax-soo-saarka cusub la hirgeliyay, baahida loo qabo aniline ee alaabta ceeriin ee hoose ayaa si aad ah u kordhay. Natiijadii rubuci hore ee suuqa guud ee aniline ayaa weli ku jira xaalad adag oo sahayda ah, ka dibna taageero xooggan u leh qiimaha.

Qiimaha naxdinta leh ee ka xoog badnaa rubuci hore faa'iidada warshadaha aniline ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah u kordhay

Faa'iido rubuci hore ee aniline waxay muujisay koror joogto ah. Laga soo bilaabo Jannaayo ilaa Maarso, qaadashada tusaale ahaan Bariga Shiinaha, celceliska faa'iidada guud ee ganacsiyada aniline ee gudaha waxay ahayd 2,404 yuan/ton, hoos 20.87% bishii iyo 21.97% sanadka. Saddexdii bilood ee ugu horreeyay, sababtoo ah sahayda suuqa aniline ee gudaha oo ciriiri ku ah, qiimuhu wuxuu si cad u taageeray faraqa sicirka ee sii kordhaya ee alaabada hoose, faa'iidada warshadaha ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah loo dayactiray si isku mid ah. Sida baahida suuqa gudaha iyo dhoofinta ee aniline rubuci hore iyo rubuci afraad ee 2022 uu ahaa mid wanaagsan, faa'iidada warshaduhu aad ayay u korodhay. Sidaa darteed, faa'iidada aniline ee rubuci hore ee 2023 ayaa hoos u dhacay si isdaba joog ah.

Baahida gudaha ayaa korodhay , dhoofintana hoos bay u dhacday rubuci hore

Marka loo eego xogta kastamka iyo qiyaasta macluumaadka Zhuo Chuang, dhoofinta aniline gudaha rubuci hore ee 2023 ayaa la filayaa inay ku dhowaato 40,000 tan, ama hoos 1.3% rubuci hore, ama hoos 53.97% sanad kasta. Inkasta oo wax-soo-saarka aniline-ka gudaha uu sii waday kororka sii kordhaya ee rubuci hore, dhoofinta aniline ee rubuci hore waxay muujin kartaa hoos u dhac yar oo ka yimid rubuci hore sababtoo ah kororka muuqda ee baahida gudaha iyo faa'iidada muuqata ee qiimaha suuqa dhoofinta. Marka la barbar dhigo rubuci hore ee 2022, sababtoo ah kororka cad ee alaabta ceeriin ee Yurub rubuci hore ee 2022, cadaadiska kharashka ee soo saarayaasha aniline ee maxaliga ah ayaa kordhay, iyo baahida soo dejinta ee aniline ee Shiinaha ayaa si aad ah u kordhay. Marka la eego faa'iidada muuqata ee qiimaha dhoofinta, soo saarayaasha aniline ee gudaha ayaa aad u jecel inay dhoofiyaan. Marka la sii daayo awoodda wax soo saarka hoose ee cusub ee Shiinaha, isbeddelka sahayda ciriiriga ah ee kheyraadka booska gudaha ee aniline ayaa noqon doona mid muuqda. Waxaa la filayaa in suuqa dhoofinta ee rubuci labaad uu weli sii wadi karo heer aad u hooseeya oo sahaydiisu xaddidan tahay.

Rubuca labaad waxa la filayey hawlgal shoog daciif ah

Rubuca labaad, suuqa aniline ayaa la filayaa inuu rogmado. Dabayaaqadii bishii March qiimihii aniline-ku waxa uu gaadhay heer aad u sareeya, halka hoose ee hoose waxa ay heleen iska hor imaad alaabeed, khatarta sare ee suuqa ayaa kor u kacday bishii 4aad waxa ay bilawday hoos u dhac degdeg ah. Muddada gaaban iyo dhexe, unugga aniline ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah dib ugu bilaabay wax soo saarka wuxuuna ku socdaa meel u dhow culeys buuxa, iyo dhinaca sahayda suuqyadu waxay u muuqdaan kuwo dabacsan. Inkasta oo Huatai uu qorsheynayo in uu sameeyo kormeerka iyo dayactirka bisha April, Fuqiang iyo Jinling qorshaha si ay u fuliyaan kormeerka iyo dayactirka ee May, ka dib May, warshadaha taayirrada terminal galaa xilli-off-xilli, taas oo si weyn u yaraynaysaa baahida loo qabo kaabayaal caag hoose ee aniline, iyo dhinaca saadka iyo dalabka ee suuqa aniline ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah u daciifi doona. Laga soo bilaabo isbeddelka alaabta ceeriin, inkastoo qiimaha benzene saafi ah iyo nitric acid ay weli tahay mid xooggan, laakiin sababtoo ah faa'iidada warshadaha aniline ee hadda jirta ayaa weli ah mid hodan ah, sidaas darteed dhinaca kharashka ee kor u kaca wanaagsan ama xaddidan. Guud ahaan, rubuca labaad, ee hoos yimaada asalka daciifka ah ee saadka iyo baahida, suuqa aniline ee gudaha ayaa laga yaabaa inuu socodsiiyo dhammaan noocyada kala duwan ee oscillations.